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Dhanalakshmi Bank: Unattractive

Suresh Krishnamurthy

THE rights offer by Dhanalakshmi Bank can be avoided. Existing holdings in the bank can also be liquidated. The bank's financial health indicates relatively higher levels of risk involved in the investment. Any deterioration in the industry's fundamentals or any increase in the mandated capital adequacy ratio can significantly affect the bank's financial health.

Suitability: The recommendation is mainly suitable for investors with a conservative risk profile. For such investors, there are banks with much better growth prospects, fundamentals and valuation. Though the downside to the stock price may be limited at present levels, the growth prospects depend on a considerable improvement in the quality of its assets, the conditions for which do not appear optimistic. Against this a backdrop, the risk involved is high for investors with a conservative risk profile.

The offer document states:

  • The bank is offering four shares for every three held by shareholders at Rs 15 per share. The present market price is Rs 16 per share.

  • The offer is expected to bring in Rs 27.48 crore. The total capital for adequacy purposes at the end of September 2001 was Rs 98.53 crore and the capital adequacy ratio at that time was 9.60 per cent.

  • The bank had accumulated non-performing assets of Rs 140.47 crore at the end of September 2001. After provisions, the net non-performing assets were Rs 100.10 crore. The bank's net worth at the end of September 2001 was Rs 83.29 crore.

  • It reported profits of Rs 13.46 crore for the 12-month period ended December 2001, recording a growth of 19 per cent. For the year ended March 2001, the bank also declared a dividend of 15 per cent.

  • It has 153 branches, out of which 145 are in South India.

    Prospects: The bank seems to have been weighed down by non-performing assets. That the NPAs, after provisioning, are 32 per cent more than the net worth places the bank in a difficult position. If it is forced to make larger provisions going forward, then both the capital adequacy ratio and the profitability will be affected.

    The rights offer also does not improve the bank's position significantly since the rise in total capital (includes net worth and non-equity long-term debt) is only of the order of around 25 per cent. In contrast, NPAs are already just a little more than the total capital.

    In addition, in the last five years, NPAs have been rising at a compounded annual rate of 32 per cent. It is true that if the economy revives, the rate of accretion to the NPAs will decline. However, the extent of decline is not quantifiable, and the bank may still be vulnerable to even small increases in the non-performing asset base.

    The bank's dividend yield does appear attractive. Considering a dividend of 15 per cent, the yield works out close to 10 per cent. However, any acceleration in the provision for NPAs can affect future dividends.

    Besides, there are other banks that offer attractive dividend yields and are also much better placed in terms of growth prospects.

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