Cholamandalam Sec

Bajaj Finance (Marketperformer)

CMP: ₹1,291.50

Target: ₹1,375

Bajaj Finance registered a robust growth in its AUM (36 per cent y-o-y, 4.5 per cent q-o-q) to ₹60,200 crore in 4QFY17, led by sound growth in segments such as consumer (43 per cent y-o-y), commercial (52 per cent y-o-y) and rural (129 per cent y-o-y). Consequently, the AUM mix stands at consumer 45.1 per cent , SME 36.7 per cent , commercial 13.1 per cent and rural segments 5.1 per cent .

Valuation: Bajaj Finance has shown consistent earnings growth despite the impact of demonetisation, stable asset quality and healthy return ratios. However, the stock is trading at a rich valuation of 4.8X P/BV of FY19E. At such steep valuations, as the strong growth estimates are already priced in, we maintain our rating on the stock as ‘Marketperformer’ with a target price of ₹1,375 assigning a P/BV of 4.6x FY19E.

Risks: Deterioration in asset quality, given high exposure to commercial, consumer and SME segments.