The monsoon is entering the last full week of the first month of June and is predicted to undergo a steady weakening over the next few days.

The current land-based 'low' around which the flows rally has started to show signs of weariness over Gangetic West Bengal and is now shifting positions.

SHIFTS POSITIONS

Lately, it has switched its bearing back towards Bangladesh, an India Met Department update said this afternoon.

But monsoon tracking models seem to be convinced about the prospects of a fresh low-pressure area materialising around the 'sweet spot' of northeast Bay of Bengal.

India Met Department projections too support this view and suggest that the 'low' may show up after the ongoing session over East India and parts of the West Coast peters out around June 25.

CONSOLIDATING FLOWS

US weather models too are dropping hints about the probability of the fresh 'low' springing up before the month is out (around June 30), helping consolidate the flows yet again.

These flows are shown as being directed first towards the Gujarat-Konkan coast from where they would be dragged over Central India.

Endurance and performance of this 'low' would be keenly watched from the viewpoint of the spread of rains over the parched west and Northwest India.

FRESH RAIN SPELL

The Met has said rain or thundershowers would occur at many places over East India, along the West Coast from June 24 to 28.

This afternoon, however, the northern limit of the monsoon was unchanged from yesterday and passed through Veraval, Surat, Nashik, Wasim, Damoh and Sultanpur.

The outlook for the next three days projects heavy to very heavy rainfall will lash the West coast and parts of East India.

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