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As was forecast, the well-marked low-pressure area over North-West Bay of Bengal and adjoining Bengal and Odisha has intensified into a depression, beefing up the monsoon.
India Met Department has located the system over the North-West Bay about 120 km East-South-East of Balasore, 90 km South-South-East of Digha and 130 km East-North-East of Chandbali.
'Low,' well-behaved
IMD expected the depression to cross the North Odisha and Bengal coasts between Chandbali and Digha, close to Balasore by this evening. Unlike in the previous cases, the system is not forecast to stray into Bangladesh/Myanmar and play to the basics and track a path right into the farming heartland of India.
Of the rain-deficient Met subdivisions in East India, only Jharkhand is seen as making meaningful gains from the system at least during the initial stages. A two-day outlook said that the depression would bring widespread rainfall along with heavy to very heavy and extremely heavy falls over Odisha, Chhattisgarh, East Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha.
Widespread rainfall activity with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places has been forecast also over the plains of Bengal and Jharkhand during this period.
Meanwhile, 24 hours that ended this morning saw heavy to very heavy rain with extremely heavy falls lash Odisha while it was heavy to very heavy East Rajasthan and South Interior Karnataka.
Heavy rain outlook
Heavy rain occurred in West Rajasthan, East Gujarat, Konkan, Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, Coastal Karnataka, North Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Assam and Meghalaya during this period. On Saturday, the offshore trough, the rain-generating feature along the West Coast, came back to life in line with the active monsoon phase, and lies from South Gujarat to North Kerala.
A cyclonic circulation was parked into the monsoon trough over North India, while another hovered over South Gujarat, both operating in tandem with the depression farther to the East. The path of the depression would take it to Chhattisgarh, East Madhya Pradesh, and likely West-North-West towards South-West Uttar Pradesh near to Delhi over the next three to four days.
It will rain all along the way even as it weakens progressively, though it remains to be see how the larger Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, which are in huge deficit, would benefit, if at all.
High winds alert
As for today, IMD has forecast heavy to very heavy rain with extremely over Odisha and Chhattisgarh, while it will be heavy to very heavy over Uttarakhand, Chandigarh, Delhi, West Uttar Pradesh, East Rajasthan, East Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Jharkhand, plains of Bengal, East Gujarat, Konkan, Goa, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Coastal Karnataka and South Interior Karnataka.
It will be heavy over Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, East Uttar Pradesh, West Rajasthan, West Madhya Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, Saurashtra, Kutch, Madhya Maharashtra, North Interior Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and Kerala.
Squally winds with speed reaching up to 55 km/hr and gusting to 65 km/hr are likely along and off the Odisha and Bengal coasts and adjoining Bangladesh. Sea condition will be rough to 'very rough' along and off Odisha and West Bengal coasts as well as adjoining Bangladesh coast. Fishermen are advised not to venture out into the seas here.
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