Yesterday’s low-pressure area in the southeast Bay of Bengal has strengthened a round into being ‘well-marked’ in the same area.
India Met Department expects it to become a depression by tomorrow (Thursday), according to a morning update.
It joins other peer models across the world in discounting any possibility of the depression growing further in strength over west-central Bay.
The system could weaken back into being a low-pressure area before making a rather quite wash-over along the Andhra Pradesh-Odisha coasts.
A few others are of the view that the system may head towards Myanmar thanks to the seas being much warm along its coastline caressed by east Bay of Bengal.
FOLLOW-UP ‘LOW’
But the east coast of India should beware of another low-pressure area crossing from the Gulf of Thailand into the Andaman Sea over the next four days (by Sunday).
Early forecasts show it bears striking comparison with very severe cyclonic storm Hudhud not just with respect to the origin but also specifics of its development.
The system would enter the Indian territorial waters (Andaman Sea) as a mature circulation and could reach considerable strength after crossing the Andaman Islands.
LINE OF SIGHT
From here, it is shown as posited directly in line with the Tamil Nadu-Andhra Pradesh coast, but would need to be tracked constantly to determine the exact track.
This was more or less the profile of Hudhud that was declared a cyclone before crossing the Andaman Islands and wading into the larger Bay of Bengal waters.
No weather model has not yet signalled possibility of cyclone formation but the system bears careful watching since it would still be away from coast till when forecasts are available currently.
It would also have to contend with a procession of western disturbances bringing in early winter weather over northwest India in the form of growing chill and fog.