As the monsoon season draws to a close, the Reserve Bank of India today said the late revival of rains should brighten the prospects for key rabi crops like wheat, allaying to an extent fears over farm growth outlook.
Monsoon, the lifeline of Indian agriculture, has revived in the last one month but Karnataka, Maharashtra, Gujarat and Rajasthan continue to face deficit rains.
The overall monsoon deficit has declined to 7 per cent so far, from 22 per cent a month ago.
While announcing the mid-quarter review of the monetary policy, the RBI said: “With the progressive reduction in rainfall deficit, kharif sowing, though still below normal, has improved. Reassuringly, the late rains have augmented the storage in reservoirs which should improve the prospects for the rabi crop, mitigating to some extent concerns about agricultural prospects.”
Recently, Agriculture Minister Sharad Pawar had said that deficit rains have impacted the sowing of kharif crop and the production of coarse cereals and pulses will be affected. However, the revival of monsoon augurs well for rabi crops, he had said.
According to official data, the total area under kharif crops is lower by over 1.2 million hectares as on September 14, compared to a normal year (average of five years), with major fall being in coarse cereals, pulses and oilseeds.
Due to impact of poor monsoon on agriculture, Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council (PMEAC) had in August pegged the farm sector growth at 0.5 per cent for the current fiscal, a projection that is even lower than in 2009-10 when monsoon was the worst in 28 years.
The farm sector had expanded at growth rate of 2.8 per cent in the last fiscal.