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There is no sign of an expected low-pressure area taking up in northwest Bay of Bengal even as a parent cyclonic circulation persisted.
The ‘low’ would be crucial in not just scaling up the intensity of rains over east and adjoining east-central India but also extending the reach of monsoon.
OUTLOOK OFF
On Wednesday, India Meteorological Department (IMD) seemed to have withdrawn its outlook for the ‘low.’
It did not also give guidance as to the expected timeline for its formation. This is a day after South China Sea tropical storm ‘Talim’ struck a path to the east-north-east into northwest Pacific.
In doing this, ‘Talim’ was literally following the footprint of predecessor typhoon (cyclone) ‘Guchol’ with intensity assessed at several times more.
‘Talim’ was the fourth storm this season and the third in the northwest Pacific/South China Sea to interfere with the progress of the Indian monsoon. All east-bound storms in these ocean basins are contra-indicated for a concurrent Indian monsoon.
NORTHERN LIMIT
Meanwhile, the northern limit of monsoon was stuck to the Veraval, Navsari, Malegaon, Betul, Seoni, Ambikapur, Gaya, Patna and Raxol alignment.
The seasonal rains had entered into entire Vidarbha, Orissa, West Bengal, Sikkim, parts of Chhattisgarh, south Madhya Pradesh and many parts of Bihar and Jharkhand on Tuesday.
Forecast valid until Saturday said that rain or thundershowers may break out at many places along west coast and over the north-eastern States, West Bengal, Sikkim and Orissa.
RAINS FORECAST
Thundershowers are also likely at a few places over east Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, east Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha and north Andhra Pradesh.
Towards the west, rain has been forecast over Gujarat, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathawada, west Madhya Pradesh and south interior peninsular India.
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