The heavy to extreme heavy rainfall belt has shifted to the east as the latest low-pressure area in the northwest Bay of Bengal intensified twice over to become a depression this morning.
This is the second monsoon depression during the season, but is expected to start weakening from tomorrow itself, according to the India Met Department.
The depression is currently located over Gangetic West Bengal and is expected to travel west-northwest into the plains and foothills of the Himalayas.
The US Climate Prediction Centre has forecast that the rains would sit heavy over east Rajasthan, west Madhya Pradesh and southwest and west Uttar Pradesh during the week ending August 9.
The rains may lift from west and northwest India later, and open a new front once again to the east and particularly so over northeast India.
The west coast may also be active during this phase; it will be interesting to watch if a ‘monsoon break’ would happen as it must after the season runs over a peak.
The ‘break’ condition occurs when the rain is confined to the foothills of the Himalayas and parts of the east coast.