City gas companies like Indraprastha Gas Ltd and Adani Total Gas Ltd are mulling an increase in CNG prices after supplies of cheaper input gas was cut for the second time in a month, but the Government officials say the retailers must give a cost breakup to justify the hike.

The Government, with effect from November 16, 2024, cut supplies of low-priced natural gas coming from old fields to city gas retailers by up to 20 per cent. This reduction came on the back of a 21 per cent reduction on October 16.

City gas retailers IGL, which retails CNG in the national capital and adjoining cities, Mahanagar Gas Ltdin Mumbai, and Adani Total Gas Ltd which operates in Gujarat and elsewhere, flagged profitability concerns due to supply cut and hinted at price hike in regulatory filings.

Officials in the Ministry of petroleum and natural gas however are unimpressed as they feel the retailers operate on "hefty" margins and can easily absorb the additional cost they may have to incur on replacing the lost volumes with slighted higher-priced gas from new wells or imported LNG.

"Take for instance IGL. It posted a net profit of ₹1,748 crore on revenue of close to 16,000 crore in the fiscal year ending March 31, 2024. That is a margin of 11 per cent. MGL had a profit of about 1,300 crore on a revenue of 7,000 crore. Which retailer earns that kind of margin?" a senior official asked.

Officials said the Government is not against companies earning profits but if they want low-priced input (gas from old fields), then they should also declare the cost breakup of the final product (CNG).

"There cannot be a situation where you insist on getting low-cost input but will not reveal the buildup to the final product price," another official said.

"The profitability numbers show they have been operating at huge margins. Indian Oil Corporation, which is also a retailer, had its best ever profit of 39,617 crore on a revenue of 8.71 lakh crore, implying a margin of 4.5 per cent."

“Production from legacy fields, called APM gas and whose price is regulated by the Government to feed city gas retailers, has been falling by up to 5 per cent annually due to the natural decline that has set in. This has led to supply cuts to city gas retailers,” officials said.

While the input gas for piped cooking gas that households get is protected, the Government has cut supply of raw material for CNG. Gas from legacy fields used to meet 90 per cent of the demand for CNG in May 2023 and has progressively fallen. The supply was cut to just 50.75 per cent of the CNG demand beginning October 16 from 67.74 per cent last month. Now it has further been reduced.

Domestic gas allocation dips further

In a stock exchange filing, IGL said, "Based on another communication received by the company from GAIL (India) Ltd , this is to inform that there has been further reduction in domestic gas allocation to the company effective from November 16, 2024.

"The revised domestic gas allocation to the company is approx. 20 per cent lesser than previous allocation which will have an adverse impact on profitability of the company."

IGL gets domestic gas allocation for meeting the requirement of CNG sales volumes at the pricing fixed by the Government (presently at $6.5 per million British thermal unit).

To make up the lost volume, it can buy gas produced from new wells that costs about $2 more.

“Drilling new wells is at a cost and so gas from them is also priced higher,” officials said.

ATGL supplies cut by 13%

Sources in city gas retailers said using a costlier alternative to make up for the shortfall may lead to a hike in CNG prices that varies from ₹4-6 per kg. Adani Total Gas Ltd in a separate filing said its supplies have been cut by 13 per cent.

"Such reduction is across the city gas distribution (CGD) industry. While industry is in discussion with key stakeholders pending resolution, there would be an adverse impact on the profitability of the company," it said.

"Also, the company is examining the current situation and shall calibrate the retail prices to end consumers to mitigate the impact of lower allocation while it will continue to provide uninterrupted gas to its consumers."

MGL said, "Allocation of APM gas to the company has reduced by 18 per cent effective November 16, 2024, compared to October 16, 2024, APM allocation. This being a major reduction in allocation, will have an impact on the profitability of the company," it said.

To bridge this shortfall, MGL is exploring options of sourcing gas through domestically produced new well gas from ONGC and benchmark-linked long-term gas contracts, so as to continue to provide gas to its customers with price stability, according to the filing.

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