Led by a smart recovery in farm output, the Government has estimated economic growth for the current financial year at 8.6 per cent against 8 per cent a year ago.
Agriculture and allied activities are likely to grow at 5.4 per cent in 2010-11 compared with just 0.4 per cent in 2009-10, according to Advance Estimates released by the Central Statistical Organisation (CSO) today.
The CSO’s GDP growth projection is higher than the forecasts made earlier by the Reserve Bank of India and the Finance Ministry.
The Finance Minister, Mr Pranab Mukherjee, had exuded confidence that the economy would grow by 8.5 per cent despite rising inflation. The RBI had also projected that the economy would expand by 8.5 per cent in its quarterly monetary policy review last month.
The latest GDP growth estimate of 8.6 per cent for the entire fiscal means that the pace of economic expansion slowed in the second half of FY2010-11, given that the GDP growth during April-September 2010, period stood at 8.9 per cent.
Growth this fiscal is likely to be driven by 8.8 per cent expansion in the manufacturing sector, the same as in the year-ago period.
According to the advance estimates, mining and quarrying is likely to grow by 6.2 per cent compared with 6.9 per cent a year ago, while electricity, gas and water production will grow up by 5.1 per cent against 6.4 per cent in the previous fiscal.