In view of the ban on high denomination notes, the 10-day toll exemption provided by NHAI is expected to result in significant liquidity stress for most of the rated road projects, rating agency ICRA has said.
Only those road projects with a substantial accumulated surplus and having features such as availability of Debt Service Reserve Account (DSRA) will not have to face liquidity problems. However, such projects constitute a very small percentage of the operational projects and hence the credit impact on the sector can be substantial, the release said.
To avoid traffic jams at toll plazas, the NHAI had exempted tolling on its roads initially till November 11, which has been extended to November 18.
Vice-President of ICRA Shubham Jain said that loss of at least one-third of the monthly toll revenues is likely to result in inadequate cash flows to service the debt commitments for November and December 2016. Moreover, even post commencement of the tolling, the traffic levels are expected to remain lower initially on account of the overall low economic activity, he said in the release.
ICRA expects that the NHAI may opt for cash compensation, instead of an extension of concession, considering the financial troubles of the road developers. Nevertheless, there is significant uncertainty regarding the quantum, mode and timing of such compensation, he said.
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