Planning Commission has decided to lower annual growth target for the 12th Five Year Plan (2012—17) to 8.5 per cent from 9 per cent envisaged earlier in view of sluggish economy and fragile global recovery.
“The Commission is of the view that annual growth target should be 8.5 per cent in the 12th Plan as it will be difficult to achieve 9 per cent”, a source privy to the development said.
It would suggest lowering of the annual growth target at a meeting of the full Planning Commission on September 15. The growth target for the agriculture sector, however, would be retained at 4 per cent for the five—year Plan period, the source said.
As regards the manufacturing sector, the growth target could be increased to 10.5 per cent in view of the initiatives being taken by the government to put in place the National Manufacturing Policy. Earlier, the Commission had pegged the sector’s growth at 9.8 per cent.
The Plan document will finally be approved by the National Development Council (NDC) to be convened sometime in October.
The decision to lower annual growth target for 12th Plan follows economic slowdown and declining industrial growth in the current fiscal. Due to the impact of global problems and slowing exports, the industrial production during April—June declined by 0.1 per cent. In June, it dropped by 1.8 per cent.
The economic growth rate plunged to a nine—year low of 6.5 per cent in 2011—12 and it is not likely to improve this fiscal. The Reserve Bank has projected the growth rate at 6.5 per cent, lower than its earlier estimate of 7.3 per cent.