The shipment of global devices (personal computers, tablets and mobile phones) is expected to total 2.4 billion units in 2013, a 9 per cent increase from 2012, according to a Gartner study.
The shipments of the devices are forecast to grow, reaching more than 2.9 billion units in 2017, but the mix of these devices will significantly change over the forecast period. The proliferation of lower-priced tablets and their growing capability is accelerating the shift from PCs to tablets.
"While there will be some individuals who retain both a personal computer and a tablet, especially those who use either or both for work and play, most will be satisfied with the experience they get from a tablet as their main computing device," said Carolina Milanesi, research vice president at Gartner.
"As consumers shift their time away from their PC to tablets and smartphones, they will no longer see their PC as a device that they need to replace on a regular basis,” Milanesi added.
As a result, the traditional PC market (notebooks and desk-top units) is expected to decline 7.6 per cent in 2013. This is not a temporary trend induced by a more austere economic environment, but it is a reflection of a long-term change in user behaviour, it added.
Beginning in 2013, ultramobiles will help offset this decline, so that sales of traditional PCs and ultramobiles combined show a 3.5 percent decline in 2013.
Worldwide tablet shipments are forecast to total 197 million units in 2013, a 69.8 per cent increase from 2012 shipments of 116 million units.
"Lower prices, form factor variety, cloud update and consumers' addiction to apps will be the key drivers in the tablet market," said Ranjit Atwal, research director at Gartner.
"Growth in the tablet segment will not be limited to mature markets alone. Users in emerging markets who are looking for a companion to their mobile phone will increasingly choose a tablet as their first computing device and not a PC."