Asian shares recouped early losses on Tuesday, while commodities won a break from recent selling pressure after a reading on China’s massive factory sector outpaced the market’s bleak expectations.
The HSBC flash reading on manufacturing (PMI) for September rose to 50.5 from 50.2 in August and confounding forecasts for a dip to 50.0.
The market had been braced for something even worse, so the reaction was immediate with Chinese stocks moving into the black and the Australian dollar blipping higher. The Asian giant is Australia’s single biggest export market and investors often use the currency as a liquid proxy for China plays.
The Shanghai Composite Index added 0.5 per cent and the CSI300 of the leading Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share listings bounced 0.6 per cent.
Australia’s main index rallied to be up 0.2 per cent, while MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan turned flat. Japanese markets were shut for a holiday.
Shares had begun badly after Wall Street took a dip overnight. The Dow had ended Monday down 0.62 per cent, while the S&P 500 lost 0.8 per cent and the Nasdaq 1.14 per cent.
The drop in the S&P was the biggest one-day decline since early August and was caused in part by a soft reading on US existing home sales which hit shares in building companies.
US dollar in demand
The soggy data gave a fillip to Treasuries, as did comments from New York Federal Reserve bank president William Dudley that there still excessive slack in the economy so any increase in rates should be done cautiously.
Dudley played down the importance of the various interest rate projections of Fed members released last week which some in the market had taken as a signal of a hawkish turn.
That helped yields on two-year paper ease back to 0.553 per cent and away from a top of 0.597 hit last week.
Yields on 10-year Treasury notes dipped to 2.56 per cent from 2.59 per cent late Friday.
Dudley also said the steady rise in the dollar could complicate the Fed's job, potentially hurting US economic performance and pushing down inflation.
The currency has been on a tear recently thanks to the diverging outlook for US rates and those in Europe and Japan, where policy is set to remain super-easy and might even be loosened further.
Measured against a basket of currencies the dollar had climbed for 10 weeks straight, the longest streak since the index was created in 1971.
On Tuesday, the dollar was taking a breather at 108.70 yen after peaking at a six-year high of 109.46 last week. The euro was hanging on at $1.2854 having been at its lowest since July last year at $1.2814.
The Australian dollar recouped a little of its recent losses on the China survey and nudged up to $0.8895.
Gold, brent crude
Likewise, gold inched higher to $1,217.60, having touched its lowest since January at $1,208.36 on Monday.
Brent crude oil for November delivery bounced 28 cents to 97.25 a barrel, having fallen sharply overnight to be uncomfortably close to its recent trough of $96.21. US crude rose 31 cents to $91.17 a barrel.
Ample supply and slowing economic growth in Europe and China had been outweighing expectations of a cut in oil output from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).
Comments
Comments have to be in English, and in full sentences. They cannot be abusive or personal. Please abide by our community guidelines for posting your comments.
We have migrated to a new commenting platform. If you are already a registered user of TheHindu Businessline and logged in, you may continue to engage with our articles. If you do not have an account please register and login to post comments. Users can access their older comments by logging into their accounts on Vuukle.