Asian shares rose on Monday and the dollar wallowed close to its lowest in nearly a month after US non-farm payrolls showed the slowest job growth in more than five years, quashing expectations for a near-term US interest rate hike.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was up 0.4 per cent in early trade. Wall Street ended down on Friday, though off session lows, with the S&P 500 finishing within just 1.5 per cent of its record closing high.
Japan’s Nikkei stock index slipped 1.6 per cent, after the dollar skidded 2 per cent against the yen on Friday.
US non-farm payrolls rose by just 38,000 last month, the smallest increase since September 2010 and well shy of expectations for a rise of 164,000. All 105 economists polled by Reuters had forecast higher numbers.
A Reuters poll of Wall Street'’ top banks taken after the jobs figures showed that all of them expect the US Federal Reserve to leave interest rates unchanged at its June 14-15 policy meeting.
“I am still on the side that the US economy is better than these data look, but it is also the case that the Fed has less confidence than I do and the market is unlikely to turn around unless there is a major piece of data that surprises on the upside,” Steven Englander, managing director and global head of G10 FX strategy at Citigroup in New York, said in a note.
Data on the US non-manufacturing sector also disappointed, showing a drop in the May headline index to 52.9 from 55.7 in April.
Fed funds futures rates indicated that traders see only a 6 per cent chance of a Fed hike this month, down from 21 per cent as recently as Thursday, according to CME Group’s FedWatch tool.
Yellen’s speech
Later in the session on Monday, Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen will address an event in Philadelphia. Markets will pay close attention to her last official remarks ahead of the pre-meeting media blackout.
The dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, edged up 0.1 per cent to 94.112 but remained not far above Friday’s low of 93.855, its lowest since May 12.
The dollar rose 0.1 per cent to 106.64 yen after brushing as low as 106.35 earlier in the session, its deepest nadir in a month.
The euro inched 0.1 per cent lower to $1.1350, after nosing to a fresh high of $1.1375 earlier, its highest level since May 13.
June 23 referendum
Sterling tumbled 0.7 per cent to $1.4396 after sinking as low as $1.4352 earlier, wallowing around three week lows as voters in Britain gear up for the June 23 referendum on whether to remain in the European Union.
Crude oil prices steadied after plunging more than 1 per cent in the wake of Friday’s disappointing payrolls figures. Weekly industry data had also shown US drillers added rigs for only the second time this year.
US crude futures added 0.5 per cent to $48.88 per barrel, after logging a 1.1 per cent drop for the week, their first weekly decline in four weeks.
Brent crude futures added 0.5 per cent to $49.89, after they managed to mark their eighth weekly gain in nine weeks.