Japanese shares gave up early gains on Wednesday as investors booked profits after Prime Minister Shinzo Abe delayed a sales tax hike and said he would call a snap election to seek a fresh mandate for his economic policies.
Asian shares slipped to a three-week low as resource shares were hit by fall in oil and other commodity prices and as Chinese shares lost momentum as investors continued to take profits after Monday’s launch of the landmark Hong Kong-Shanghai trading link.
Japan’s Nikkei erased earlier gains to stand flat by midday, showing little reaction after the Bank of Japan maintained its policy as expected after a surprise easing last month.
“Considering the current economic conditions, postponing the consumption tax would be positive for stocks,’’ Ryota Sakagami, chief strategist at SMBC Nikko Securities, said in report.
Delay in tax hike
Abe’s tax hike delay by 18 months is expected to help the world’s third-biggest economy, which unexpectedly slipped back into a recession in the June-September quarter after an earlier sales tax increase clobbered consumption.
“But the ruling party bloc is likely to reduce their seats. Their victory is unlikely to create hopes for big changes. So we do not anticipate the type of boom in Japanese stocks we saw after election in 2005 and 2012,’’ Sakagami added.
Few expect Abe’s Liberal Democratic Party and its smaller ally to lose their majority, but financial markets and analysts are now contemplating the possibility that the ruling bloc might fare less well than initially anticipated.
BoJ governor’s news conference
Investors are now looking to what BoJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda would say about the country's slide into recession and Abe’s decision to delay the tax hike - something Kuroda has said is not advisable. Kuroda will hold a news conference at 0630 GMT.
The BoJ had stunned markets last month by expanding its monetary easing programme to pre-empt a slowdown in inflation.
Yen hits 7-year low
The Japanese yen hit a seven-year low, weighed by the BoJ’s extremely loose policy and weak economic data.
The dollar rose as high as 117.31 yen, high last seen in 2007, and last stood at 117.27 yen. The euro also hit a six-year high of 146.81 yen.
ZEW survey
The euro held firm against the dollar at $1.2530, after German analyst and investor sentiment rose unexpectedly in November for the first time in almost a year.
The ZEW index surpassed even the most bullish forecast, raising hopes of an improvement in Europe’s biggest economy after it dodged recession in the third quarter.
The upbeat data also helped European shares to close at a seven-week high, while Wall Street shares inched up as the healthcare sector benefited from the takeover of Allergan Inc by Actavis.
The Australian dollar tumbled as the prices of iron ore, Australia’s top export earner, slipped to its lowest in five years at $72.10 a tonne.
Minutes of Fed policy meet
Later in the day, the US Federal Reserve will release the minutes of its last policy meeting, which markets will watch for any clues on when the Fed will start raising rates.
US debt yields had dipped on Tuesday as benign wholesale inflation figures cemented the view that the Fed can afford to wait for an extended period before raising rates.
The 10-year US 10-year yield stood at 2.320 per cent in early Asia, after having dipped about 2.5 basis points on Tuesday.
Crude oil prices
One major reason inflation is subdued in the United States — and elsewhere — is because of falling oil prices over the last five months, partly on oversupply concerns as US shale oil production has increased.
Oil prices were depressed near four-year lows after two straight days of falls so far this week as traders looked to whether the OPEC will agree on an output cut at its November 27 meeting.
US crude futures stood at $74.29 per barrel, near last week’s low of $73.25, having fallen more than 31 per cent in the last five months.