Crude oil prices eased in Asian trade today on expectations of an increase in US inventories and as traders await a Federal Reserve decision on the future of stimulus programme.
New York’s main contract, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for March delivery, eased 23 cents to $97.18 in mid-morning trade, while Brent North Sea crude for March delivery was down one cent at $107.40.
Inventories were forecast to have risen 2.2 million barrels, on average, in the week to January 24, according to a forecast of 11 analysts surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires.
The official stockpiles report will be released by the US Energy Department later Wednesday.
A rise indicates weak demand in the world’s biggest economy and oil consuming nation, putting downward pressure on prices.
Desmond Chua, market analyst at CMC Markets in Singapore, said that dealers were also keenly looking to see if the Fed further pares its monthly asset purchases when it concludes a two-day policy meeting on Wednesday.
Fed stimulus taper
He said the “most likely scenario” was that the Fed would go ahead with a further $10-billion reduction in its monetary stimulus.
In December, the US central bank had said that it would reduce the stimulus by $10 billion to $75 billion a month in January.
The so-called tapering of the Fed’s asset purchases would likely boost the greenback, making dollar-priced oil more expensive for countries using other currencies, dampening its demand.
Fed stimulus announcement
Chua said analysts would also focus on the language used in the announcement by the Fed, to sense if it was a unanimous decision or if there was any dissent between the members.
“We need to remember that there is a transition of members as well and more dissent going forward will make policy making a bit less straight forward,” Chua said.
Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke steps down on Friday after an eight-year tenure, and will be succeeded by current Vice-Chairman Janet Yellen.