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Gold kicked off April by climbing on Wednesday as the dollar retreated, but expectations that the Federal Reserve is on course to lift interest rates this year capped the bullion’s gains.
Investors are looking to Friday’s US jobs data when another strong number could boost bets that the US central bank will hike interest rates sooner rather than later.
Economists polled by Reuters have forecast a 244,000 rise in non-farm payrolls in March, which would mark the 13th straight month of job gains of over 200,000, matching a run in 1994-95.
Fed rate hike
The Fed will have a “strong’’ case to hike interest rates in June, Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker said, dismissing recent weak US economic data as transitory and perhaps due to unseasonable weather.
Spot gold was up 0.4 per cent at $1,187.50 an ounce by 0242 GMT, after ending March with a loss of 2.4 per cent.
“There’s some short-term support around $1,180, but I still believe the price will continue to go down given pressure from the Fed increasing rates,’’ said Chen Min, analyst at Jinrui Futures in Shenzhen.
Bullion has dropped 3 per cent since touching a three-week high last week, as the dollar gained momentum after Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s comments on Friday suggested a rate hike is still on the cards for later this year.
Yellen’s remarks halted a seven-day rally in gold, its longest since 2012, that had been spurred by hopes the Fed would take it slow in raising rates.
Dollar slips
The greenback slipped against a basket of major currencies on Wednesday, making dollar-denominated assets such as gold cheaper for holders of other currencies.
US gold for April delivery rose 0.3 per cent to $1,186.90 an ounce.
Buying interest from China, the world’s second largest gold consumer after India, is “relatively soft’’ at current prices, said Chen.
“Buyers are waiting for prices to fall below $1,100,’’ she said.
SPDR Gold Trust
The world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, New York-listed SPDR Gold Trust, in March recorded its biggest monthly outflow since December 2013.
Investors were also keeping an eye on talks between Iran and six world powers to settle a dispute over Tehran's nuclear programme as discussions extended beyond a Tuesday deadline.
A deal could see the dollar “sell off slightly thus giving gold a bit of a lift,’’ INTL FCStone analyst Edward Meir said in a note.
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