Dollar advances to 8-month high as US yields resume climb

Updated - January 15, 2018 at 11:23 PM.

dollar

The dollar rose to an 8-month high against the yen on Friday as US bond yields resumed their rise in Asia after the Thanksgiving break shut markets in the United States.

The dollar was up 0.3 per cent at 113.710 yen after hitting an 8-month high of 113.900 yen. It was on track to rise 2.5 per cent on the week.

The euro nudged up 0.1 per cent to $1.0558 to put a bit of distance between $1.0518, its lowest since March hit in the previous day. The common currency was poised for a 0.3per cent weekly loss.

“We kept expecting the dollar to adjust lower during its bull phase but that has not happened yet, since there has been no real opportunity for selling to take hold,” said Shin Kadota,chief Japan FX strategist at Barclays in Tokyo.

“How far the dollar can run will be mostly up to how much more US yields can rise,” Kadota said, adding that there were not many factors to derail the dollar’s momentum for now, though the turmoil in emerging markets needed watching.

Emerging market equities and currencies have been hit hard by the spectre of higher US interest rates and the prospect of US trade protectionism that President-elect Donald Trump had advocated.

The Turkish lira, for example, slumped to a record low although the country’s central bank raised interest rates for the first time in nearly three years on Thursday. The lira was hurt as European Union lawmakers called for a temporary halt to EU membership talks with Ankara.

Some expect a further sell-off in emerging markets to eventually revive demand for the flagging Japanese yen,considered a go-to currency in times of market tumult along with the Swiss franc.

Analysts also pointed to weakened expectations towards the Bank of Japan's monetary easing which until recently had helped the yen depreciate as a factor that bears watching.

“With markets casting doubts on the effectiveness of BOJ’s monetary easing, there are less incentives to go short on theyen,” said Minori Uchida, chief FX analyst at the Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ.

The 10-year US Treasury note yield rose about 5 basis points to 2.405 per cent from the previous close on Wednesday.

The yield rose to 2.417 per cent midweek, its highest since July 2015, as the market continued to bet that Trump’s administration will increase debt-funded spending and spur higher growth and inflation.

The dollar index was steady at 101.720 after rising to a 13-1/2-year high of 102.050 overnight. It was enroute for a0.6 per cent gain on the week.

The Australian dollar was up 0.2 per cent at $0.7430. The Aussie has gained more than 1 per cent on the week, holding its own against the dollar thanks in part to a rise in prices of commodities such as iron ore.

Sterling was steady at $1.2446 and headed for a 0.7 per cent gain on the week.

The pound has been lifted this month with investor focus turning away from political risks facing Britain - namely its exit from the European Union - and towards risks elsewhere,particularly in Europe.

Published on November 25, 2016 08:43