US jobs data key for a lacklustre dollar

Updated - January 09, 2018 at 01:27 AM.

forex

The dollar drifted sideways on Friday after a week of losses, as markets waited for US jobs data to shake the currency out of recent ranges, with some market analysts saying the currency may have peaked for now.

The Australian dollar was the big loser of the day, falling half a per cent after disappointing retail sales data. The British pound dropped to a one-month low after plunging on Thursday.

The market showed little reaction to US President Donald Trump's appointment on Thursday of

Jerome Powell, a Fed governor, to lead the US central bank. That broke with precedent by denying incumbent Janet Yellen a second term but signalled a continuation of her cautious monetary policies .

“I think the Powell news was not really a surprise for markets, who have been expecting this, but we think the dollar may have hit a short-term peak for now in the absence of any upside data surprises,” said Lutz Karpowitz, an FX strategist at Commerzbank in Frankfurt.

The next big data release comes later today. The US non-farm payrolls report is expected to show job numbers bounced back in October after September's drop.

Against a broad basket of currencies, the dollar edged 0.1 per cent higher to 94.817, up from a one-week low of 94.411 set on Thursday.

The Australian dollar slipped half a per cent to $0.7651, coming under pressure after data showed that retail sales were flat in September. That was below market expectations for a rise of 0.4 per cent on the month.

Sterling continued to fall after suffering its biggest one-day fall against the dollar since June on Thursday, when the Bank of England raised interest rates for the first time in more than a decade but said it sees only gradual rises ahead.

Sterling fell 0.2 per cent to $1.3040, its lowest since October 6, after losing 1.4 per cent on Thursday.

Morgan Stanley strategists said the prospect of more US rate increases next year would put pressure on currencies such as the Australian dollar and sterling, since households in those countries have racked up large debts in recent years.

“As the Fed continues to raise interest rates, these funding costs will rise, if not compensated by lower borrowing costs in their home currency,” Morgan Stanley strategists said in a note.

Published on November 3, 2017 10:03