World share markets extended their ‘Santa rally’ into a fourth day on Monday, as a recovery in beaten-down oil prices and the rouble and more calls for quantitative easing from the ECB helped lift the sentiment.
There were also hopes that Greece could avoid destabilising snap elections after Greece’s Prime Minister Antonis Samaras made a surprise offer to bring pro-European independents into the government if they backed his choice for new president.
Asian markets had set the tone with gains of 1 per cent as they followed on from Wall Street’s strong finish to last week and European bourses were just as buoyant.
Britain’s blue-chip FTSE 100 index advanced by 1 per cent, Germany’s DAX by 0.9 per cent and France’s CAC rose 1.2 per cent to leave the pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index up a total of 0.85 per cent.
“Overall the concerns (about the plunge in oil prices, Russia and Greece) are fading into the background a bit,’’ said head of equity strategy at ABN Amro, Sybren Brouwer.
“The market recovery is pretty sharp and sharper in Europe than other markets.’’
Recently battered oil prices were also on the up.
Crude oil rebounds
Brent jumped 2 per cent $62.86, while US crude climbed a similar amount to $58.28 a barrel as consensus spread that prices would remain firmer for the rest of the year.
They are now almost 7 per cent higher than last week’s more than five-year lows. That helped the commodity currencies like rouble which continued its recent rebound with another 2 per cent jump as the Australian and Canadian dollars also made ground.
Stocks in Moscow were also flying, with the dollar-traded up over 4 per cent as it also emerged that oil firm Rosneft had paid around $7 billion due on loan from a syndicate of international banks, ending recent doubts.
Euro bounces back
The euro, meanwhile, bounced back from two-year lows against the dollar, with Greece’s presidential election and a batch of US data on Tuesday the chief risks to a calmer holiday mood.
Over the week-end, Belgium’s Luc Coene became the latest European Central Bank policymaker to back outright government bond-buying to stimulate the euro zone.
The bank’s vice-president also warned of a temporary stint of deflation. “We now expect a negative inflation rate in the coming months and that is something that every central bank has to look at very closely,’’ Vitor Constancio said.
The dollar index, which tracks the US unit against a basket of six rival currencies, inched down about 0.2 per cent to 89.458, but was still within sight of a near nine-year peak of 89.645 set on Friday. Against the yen, however, the dollar was up at 119.77, though it was still well away from a 7-1/2 year high of 121.86 touched this month.
Greek bond yields
In Europe’s bond market, hopes that Greece can avoid another damaging political episode also pushed down Greek yields. Ten-year bonds dipped 11 basis points to 8.32 per cent, while five-year equivalents dipped 30 bps to 8.55 per cent.
President elections
Greece’s government only managed to muster 160 out of the 200 votes needed to seat its new candidate in the first round of presidential voting last week, but it hopes a coalition of pro-European independents could give it a chance of winning in a final attempt on December 29 where it only needs 180 votes.
If it fails, the worry for markets is that it will start a chain of events that end with the anti-bailout Syriza party in power which would revive fears about a Greek exit from the euro.
ABN Amro’s Brouwer said the current government joining forces with pro-European independents “would definitely be a good thing’’. “I don't think it (Greek worry) was the major reason for the recent correction that we saw but it certainly added to some of the other concerns.’’