Gold recovers from 2-month low as dollar weakens

Updated - January 09, 2018 at 01:20 PM.

gold

Gold prices inched up from a two-month low on Wednesday, as the dollar weakened on concerns over the progress of a US tax reform plan.

Spot gold rose 0.2 per cent to $1,268.84 an ounce by 0803 GMT after it hit its lowest since October 6 in the previous session. US gold futures were up 0.5 per cent at $1,271.10.

US tax bill

The dollar edged down on Wednesday, as concerns about a possible U.S. government shutdown offset optimism about the progress on tax reform legislation.

The Republican-controlled US House of Representatives had voted on Monday to go to conference on tax legislation with the Senate, moving Congress another step closer to a final Bill.

However, if lawmakers fail to reach a budget agreement this week, with government funding deadline approaching, the possibility of a government shutdown looms.

“Purely technically, gold is range-bound. We think the dollar strength is not going to last long,” said Dominic Schnider at UBS Wealth Management in Hong Kong.

“Gold stays under pressure in the short run as the market is repricing a little bit more Federal Reserve activity next year and the global economy is sparking an uptrend, earnings coming in well and the value for safe-haven assets like gold is diminishing,” he said.

The US Fed is almost certain to raise interest rates next week at its final monetary policy meeting for the year, according to a Reuters poll of economists.

“We do not think that Trump's tax reforms will create a long lasting boost to growth nor will they change our stance of two rate hikes next year,” Schnider said.

Gold is highly sensitive to rising US rates, as these lift the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion, while boosting the dollar, in which it is priced.

Meanwhile, holdings in the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, SPDR Gold Trust, fell 0.17 per cent to 845.47 tonnes on Tuesday.

Spot gold may break support at $1,262 per ounce, and fall to the next support level at $1,250, Reuters technicals analyst Wang Tao said.

Among other precious metals, silver was nearly unchanged at $16.10 an ounce, after hitting its lowest since mid-July in the previous session. Platinum eased 0.1 per cent to $914.60 an ounce, while palladium gained 0.4 per cent to $986.80 an ounce.

Published on December 6, 2017 10:40