Gold slips to lowest in 8 weeks on Fed rate hike outlook

Reuters Updated - January 20, 2018 at 04:55 PM.

gold

Gold slipped to its lowest in eight weeks on Friday, and was on track for its biggest weekly decline in nine, as expectations of a US interest rate hike in two months on positive economic data hurt investor appetite.

The safe-haven asset was also weighed down by Asian stocks that drifted upwards on Friday and as the dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, held steady.

Spot gold was up 0.1 per cent at $1,221.45 an ounce by 0624 GMT, after falling as low as $1,211.30 earlier in the session, the lowest since April 1.

The metal has dropped about 2.5 per cent so far this week, heading towards its biggest weekly decline since March 25.

US gold was nearly flat at $1,221.

Fed rate hike prospects

Bullion has been under pressure since the prospect of an imminent rate hike was indicated by US Federal Reserve meeting minutes released last week and has been consistently supported by key central bank officials.

An increase in rates would raise the opportunity cost of holding gold.

“Gold is not an interest-bearing asset so that is the reason a majority (traders) might want to wait on the sidelines, or, even move out of gold at the moment,” said Brian Lan, managing director at Singapore-based gold dealer GoldSilver Central.

“Some traders might just exit the market for now and see where it goes before they come back in.”

Fed Governor Jerome Powell, a voting member of the US central bank’s rate-setting committee, had on Thursday said he felt the economy was on a “solid footing” and within reach of the Fed’s inflation goals.

Meanwhile, the Atlanta Fed had on Thursday predicted the country’s economy is on track to grow by a 2.9 per cent annualised rate in the second quarter, following the latest data on durable goods orders and advance goods trade.

Yellen’s comments

The gold market is awaiting further direction from Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s comments at a panel event hosted by Harvard University on Friday.

“If she (Yellen) nudges expectations towards a rate increase, the futures fund curve should start to show a higher probability of an imminent move,” said INTL FCStone analyst Edward Meir.

“At this point, the dollar could start to stabilise and perhaps weaken given that a rate hike would now be mostly discounted.”

Among other precious metals, spot silver touched its lowest since April 18, hitting a low of $16.12. Spot platinum marked its weakest in over a month and was on track for its biggest weekly decline since January 15.

Published on May 27, 2016 07:38