Asian shares and the dollar eased on Wednesday as investors grew cautious before upcoming central bank meetings and US jobs data, while India’s central bank surprised with its second inter-meeting rate cut this year.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was down about 0.2 per cent, while Japan’s Nikkei stock average fell 0.8 per cent to a one-week low, pulling away from recent 15-year highs.
Investors remained cautious ahead of US non-farm payrolls report for February, which could provide clues about the timing of the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike.
“Whether this selling is short-term profit-taking or can lead to a solid correction depends on how the market perceives the US jobs data,’’ said Isao Kubo, equity strategist at Nissay Asset Management in Tokyo.
“If wages are better than expected and trigger worries about a sooner-than-later rate hike, there may be some more selling in stocks.’’
US non-farm payrolls report
Economists polled by Reuters expect an increase of 240,000 new jobs in February, falling short of the 257,000 seen in January. Ahead of the jobs data, investors will focus on US ISM services report to be released later on Wednesday.
On Wall Street overnight, US stock indexes retreated from record highs hit earlier in the week.
Chinese shares got off to a brighter start after steep losses in the previous session, with the Shanghai Composite up 0.3 per cent. The HSBC/Markit Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) picked up to 52.0 last month from January’s 51.8, showing that activity in China’s services sector grew modestly as new orders rose at their quickest pace in three months.
In a surprise move, India’s central bank cut its policy repo rate by 25 basis points to 7.5 per cent on Wednesday, its second cut this year outside of its official policy meetings and comes on the back of easing inflation and a government commitment to fiscal discipline.
ECB bond-buying programme
The euro inched slightly up against the dollar to $1.1176 , a day ahead of a European Central Bank meeting, at which policymakers are expected to announce additional details about the bank’s €1.1 trillion ($1.23 trillion) bond-buying quantitative easing programme. Some believe the forex impact is likely to be limited.
“We don’t see a large chance of a negative EUR move as the total amount of QE is already known, and unlikely to be altered. A positive EUR impact is also unlikely to be sustained,’’ Richard Cochinos, a strategist at CitiFX, wrote in a note to clients.
The ECB will also release new economic forecasts. Chief Economist Peter Praet had said last week that it was likely to revise upward its expectations for growth in the euro zone, against a backdrop of low oil prices and a weak euro.
Dollar vs other currencies
The dollar fell about 0.1 per cent against the yen on the day to 119.61, moving away from a three-week high of 120.27 yen touched in the previous session.
The dollar index was flat on the day at 95.400, below Tuesday's high of 95.570, which was its strongest level since September 2003.
Later on Wednesday, the Bank of Canada will announce its latest policy decision. It surprised markets by cutting interest rates by 25 basis points to 0.75 per cent at its last meeting in January, but is expected to hold steady this time, with another cut seen more likely in the second quarter.
The greenback was steady on the day against the Canadian dollar at C$1.2498, after falling as low as C$1.2435 on Tuesday after data showed that the Canadian economy grew by a faster-than-expected annualised rate of 2.4 per cent in the fourth quarter.
US crude added about 0.2 per cent on the day to $50.61, extending some of the gains made overnight as fighting in Libya and signs of stronger global demand outweighed oversupply concerns. Brent crude slipped about 0.5 percent to $60.71. ($1 = 0.8947 euros)