Nikkei slumps over 5% on firm yen, set for worst weekly loss since 2008

Reuters Updated - January 19, 2018 at 10:39 PM.

nikkei_2650320f

Japan’s Nikkei share average fell more than 5 per cent to a fresh 16-month low on Friday, and was set for its biggest weekly drop since 2008 as investors rushed to dump risky assets after the dollar dived to a 15-month low against the yen.

The Nikkei fell as much as 5.4 per cent to 14,865.77 in morning trade, a level unseen since October, 2014.

For the week, the Nikkei has fallen 12 per cent, heading for the biggest weekly drop since October, 2008.

Japanese markets were closed for a public holiday on Thursday, when the dollar fell as low as 110.985 yen, its lowest level since October 2014 as fears of a global economic slowdown and concerns about stress in the banking system increased the demand for safe havens. It last stood at 112.24 yen.

Traders said that investors feared Japanese exporters hopes of earnings growth will suffer if the yen strengthens further.

Automakers were hammered, with Toyota Motor Corp falling 6.5 per cent, Honda Motor Co dropping 4.8 per cent.

According to analysts at Nomura Securities, when the dollar falls by 1 yen, it cuts Japan Inc’s pre-tax earnings by 0.4-0.5 per cent and pushes down the Nikkei share average by 400 yen.

Masaru Hamasaki, head of market & investment information department at Amundi Japan, said the Nikkei could stay below the 15,000-line for the time being, with more potential seen on the downside.

Japanese stocks’ steep drop followed the Bank of Japan’s decision to adopt negative interest rates late last month, but the yen has gained as investors dumped riskier assets and look for safe havens amid the market turmoil.

Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen did little to help the dollar in her second day of testimony before US lawmakers. While she said she still expects the Fed to gradually hike interest rates this year, she reiterated that policymakers were not on a “pre-set’’ path to return policy to “normal’’ given a worsening meltdown in global stock markets.

The dollar’s overnight jump led to speculation that Japanese authorities were checking currency rates, a step that often precedes intervention. A government official declined to comment on intervention on Friday.

“As long as there is speculation about intervention, speculators may test whether the BoJ may actually act, so we are bracing for another sell-off in stocks,’’ said Norihiro Fujito, a senior investment strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities.

“If the BOJ acts, it may serve as a short-term ‘painkiller’ but the effect will likely be short-lived.’’

All of the Topix’s 33 subsectors fell, with securities firms underperforming.

Nomura Holdings lost 8.3 per cent and Daiwa Securities Group 7.4 per cent.

The broader Topix dropped 5.6 per cent to 1,194.71 and the JPX-Nikkei Index 400 fell 5.7 per cent to 10,763.98.

Published on February 12, 2016 03:48