Supply constraints. Projections for a hot summer raise power supply worries

Bloomberg Updated - April 04, 2023 at 11:42 AM.

Electricity demand expected to hit a new record in April as people crank up their air-conditioners, fans and refrigeration units

File picture: Women cover their head with scarves to protect themselves from the scorching heat on a hot summer day, in New Delhi | Photo Credit: KAMAL KISHORE

Several parts of the country are forecast to witness hotter-than-usual weather through June, raising the risk of more strain on the power network, as people turn to air-conditioners to find a reprieve from the heat waves.

Most areas of the central, eastern and north-western states are likely to experience heat waves during the three-month summer season, Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, Director-General of the India Meteorological Department, said in New Delhi on Saturday. 

Climate change is increasing global temperatures and worsening the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. This year, there’s been increased focus on India’s weather outlook after the subcontinent suffered a punishing heat wave in 2022 that caused widespread human suffering and affected global wheat supplies.

Also read: No issue of coal availability, constraint is railway logistics: Power Secretary to Parliamentary panel

Some states received unseasonal rains in March, damaging wheat, mustard and onion crops, and raised the risk of an increase in prices. While farmers pray for sunshine for the drenched crop to dry, they remain wary of extreme heat waves that could further erode yields. Rainfall across the country was 26 per cent above normal in March, Mohapatra said.

Preparations are underway for a spike in temperatures. The Power Ministry predicts that peak electricity demand will climb to a new record in April as people crank up their air-conditioners, fans and refrigeration units. It’s ordered power plants to import coal, as domestic output may not be sufficient.

Diesel consumption rises during summer as it encourages people to travel to cooler mountains from plains and at the same time use of diesel-fuelled back-up generators increases to make up for shortages from the grid. Consumption of gas could also climb as the government has mandated use of idling gas-fired power plants to meet the summer demand.

Unseasonal showers in March

The weather office said temperatures in March were below-normal in most parts of the country, helped by unseasonal showers. Rainfall was above normal in the central, southern, eastern and north-eastern regions last month, according to the weather office. The country’s north-western region received below-average rains, it said.

For April, longer-than-normal heat waves are expected in parts of Bihar, Jharkhand, Uttar Pradesh, Odisha, West Bengal, Maharashtra, Gujarat, Punjab, Haryana and Chhattisgarh, the weather office said.  

Also read: India’s coal production expected at 850-900 million tonnes in FY23

The number of states hit by heat waves since 2015 has more than doubled to 23 by 2020. The country describes heat wave as a period of abnormally high temperatures, more than the normal maximum temperature that occurs during the hot weather season.

Published on April 4, 2023 06:05

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