India is seeking to lure United States’ (US) businesses, including medical devices giant Abbott Laboratories, to relocate from China as President Donald Trumps administration steps up efforts to blame Beijing for its role in the coronavirus pandemic.

The government in April reached out to more than 1,000 companies in the US and through overseas missions to offer incentives for manufacturers seeking to move out of China, according to Indian officials who asked not to be identified, citing rules on speaking with the media. India is prioritizing medical equipment suppliers, food processing units, textiles, leather and auto part makers among more than 550 products covered in the discussions, they said.

Trumps move to blame China for its handling of the Covid-19 outbreak, which has killed more than a quarter-million people worldwide, is expected to worsen global trade ties as companies and governments move resources out of the worlds second-largest economy to diversify supply chains. Japan has earmarked $2.2 billion to help shift factories from its neighbour, while European Union members plan to cut dependence on Chinese suppliers.

India expects to win over US companies involved in healthcare products and devices, and is in talks with Medtronic Plc and Abbott Laboratories on relocating their units to the country, an official said. Medtronic spokesman Ben Petok and Abbott spokeswoman Darcy Ross didn’t immediately respond to emails seeking comment.

Both Medtronic and Abbott have a presence in India, which may make it easier for them to move their China supply chains to the country, according to an official. They’re based out of financial centre Mumbai and already work with large Indian hospital groups.

Officials have told companies that India is more economical in terms of securing land and affordable skilled labour than if they moved back to the US or Japan, even if overall costs are still higher than China. They have also offered an assurance that India will consider specific requests on changes to labour laws, which have proved a major stumbling block for companies, and said the government is considering a request from e-commerce companies to postpone a tax on digital transactions introduced in this years budget.

India’s trade ministry spokesman didn’t respond to an email seeking comment on the effort to lure US companies.

The push by Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government comes as India tries to regain lost ground after many companies chose countries like Vietnam over India as an alternative destination when Trump started his trade war with China. Modi has tried to shore up US investments and improve ties through corporate tax cuts, two massive public rallies with Trump in Houston and India, and a $3 billion defence deal.

Secretary of State Michael Pompeo last month said the US was working with India, Australia, Japan, New Zealand, South Korea and Vietnam on how to restructure these supply chains to prevent something like this from ever happening again. The administration was turbocharging an initiative to remove global supply chains from China, Reuters reported this week, with one official saying its pushing for an Economic Prosperity Network of trusted partners.

Replace China

Expert say that the network, if it pans out, will look to India and Vietnam to replace China in the global supply chain network, said Derek Grossman, researcher at the Washington-based RAND Corporation who held positions in the US Intelligence Community for more than a decade. This would be a rough fit in terms of replacing Som, China’s immense manufacturing capabilities, but perhaps the US has high hopes that India and Vietnam can quickly ramp up to at least equal Chinese capacity.

India in April partially lifted a ban on the export of hydroxychloroquine and paracetamol following a request from Trump. It also approved Rs 13,000 ($1.7 billion) worth of investments to make more bulk drugs and medical devices, and to boost local manufacturing of drug intermediates and active pharmaceutical ingredients to cut dependence on imports from China.

For Modi, a surge in investment would help shore up an economy battered by an eight-week nationwide lockdown to control the Covid-19 outbreak, and help him make up ground hitting a target to grow its manufacturing sector to 25 per cent of gross domestic product by 2022 from 15 per cent. The need to create employment is now even more urgent after the pandemic left 122 million people jobless and forced India to shut down all major cities.

It could also present India with a chance to finally push through long-stalled reforms on land, labor and taxes that have hindered investment for years. Modi’s second term has been marred by nationwide protests and slow growth since his party scored a landslide election victory a year ago, presenting a risk for companies planning to move.

There are opportunities for India to try to gain a place in global supply chains, but this will require serious investments in infrastructure and governance, said Paul Staniland, an associate professor at the University of Chicago who writes about India’s politics and foreign policy. India faces tough competition from elsewhere in South and South-East Asia.

India’s trade ministry has sought detailed feedback from US companies on changes needed to make the country’s tax and labour laws more favourable to companies, said one of the officials. Modi’s government is working with states to ensure long term solutions, the official added, including developing land banks to ensure a quick start for units.

Tax reform

India is a bigger market than Vietnam or Cambodia so it should be a bigger draw for investors looking to move operations out of China, said Ajay Sahai, director general and chief executive officer of the Federation of Indian Exporters. But apart from ensuring land, water and sewerage, the most important change India needs to make is to give a clear guarantee that the government will not introduce retrospective tax amendments.

Some states including Maharashtra have ensured that supply chains for foreign manufacturers remained functional through India’s national virus lockdown. Others like Tamil Nadu in the south and Uttar Pradesh in the north have offered concessions for those planning to move.

There is abundant capital in the US that is looking for geographies outside, and we can see India responding, said Mukesh Aghi, president of the US-India Strategic and Partnership Forum, a Washington-based group that advocates for policies that further business ties between the countries. Companies realize that while large supply chains in China may have been economical, there is no point in keeping all your eggs in one basket.

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