Prime Minister Shinzo Abe dissolved the Parliament’s Lower House on Friday for a snap election expected on December 14, seeking a fresh mandate for his struggling “Abenomics’’ revival strategy just two years after he returned to power promising that “Japan is Back’’.
Abe had vowed to revive the economy with a mix of hyper-easy monetary policy, government spending and reforms, while moving ahead with plans to rein in Japan’s massive public debt.
But doubts have grown about his strategy, especially after data showed this week that the economy had surprisingly slipped into recession in the third quarter after an initial rise in sales tax to 8 per cent from April.
Abe has said that he would delay for 18 months a second tax hike to 10 per cent that had been slated for October 2015. He pledged that the second increase, which advocates say is needed to fund the bulging social security costs of a fast-ageing population, would go ahead in April 2017.
No general election needed to be held until late 2016.
Support ratings
But Abe hopes to cement his grip on power before his support ratings slip too far. Next year, he plans to tackle unpopular policies such as restarting reactors that went off-line after the 2011 Fukushima nuclear crisis.
An Asahi newspaper poll published on Friday showed Abe’s support fell to 39 per cent — the lowest since he took office in December 2012 — and just a bit more than the 40 per cent who do not back him.
Still, 37 per cent said they would vote for Abe’s Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) in proportional representation districts, compared with 13 per cent who planned to vote for the main opposition Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ). Thirty per cent were undecided.
“Unfortunately, the DPJ has not recovered to a point where we can say to voters, ‘Entrust the government to us’,’’ DPJ Secretary General Yukio Edano told a news conference. The Democrats were trounced in 2012 after three years in power.
‘Trickle down’ policies
Edano said the DPJ wanted to give voters a choice between Abe’s “trickle down’’ policies that critics say favour the rich and big firms, and the Democrats' "bottom up" strategy that focuses on the middle class.
Faced with a weak and divided opposition, the LDP and its junior partner, the Komeito party, are not expected to lose their majority in the Lower House, where they held two-thirds of the 480 seats. There will be 475 seats up for grabs this time after reforms to rebalance between sparsely populated rural districts and dense urban areas.
Abe said he’d resign if his coalition failed to win a majority, an outcome experts dismissed as almost impossible, though he could end up weakened if the LDP loses too many seats.