The last week was quite an eventful period for Ambuja Cements. The company’s stock hit an all-time high of ₹585.45 on September 20 and has since then declined 14 per cent.  This was after the stock has been an outperformer in the cement sector space over the last six months in the volatile market. While many cement stocks have traded down for the year so far, Ambuja and its subsidiary ACC have managed to stay afloat, with Ambuja being up by around 50 per cent prior to its correction over the last week. The reason can be attributed to the takeover by Adani and the open offer as per SEBI norms.

In May 2022, Adani bagged the deal to buy Ambuja Cements and ACC. As per the SEBI norms, Adani group had to issue an open offer to buy another 26 per cent of shares. This factor continued to buoy the stocks.

Rise and fall

Further, on September 16, Ambuja Cements announced plans to issue 47.47 crore warrants at ₹418.87 each to Harmonia Trade and Investment Limited (an Adani group entity) and raise ₹20,000 crore upon conversion of these warrants at a future date. Thus, the promoter group holding will rise to 70.3 per cent (post-conversion of warrants) from 63.2 per cent.

As per an Axis securities report, the amount raised is  intended for capital expansion, de-bottlenecking capital expenditure along with logistics infrastructure, consolidations, investment in technology and working capital requirements. This seems to be in line with the expansion of the consolidated capacity from 70 million tonnes to 140 million tonnes by 2027, announced by Gautam Adani. The market took this development positively and on September 19, the stock made a high of ₹572.5 (BSE) and, in the next trading session, made an all-time high of ₹585.45.

However, this winning streak ended soon after and the stock witnessed a 14 per cent correction from its peak. On September 20, Adani group announced pledging 100 per cent of its holdings in Ambuja and ACC to fund the purchase of around $6.4 billion to Holcim. The pledge has been created with Deutsche Bank, Hong Kong. The market reaction to the news of pledging has been adverse, coupled with global macroeconomic uncertainty weighing heavily on domestic equities .

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Key factors to consider when choosing cement stocks 

Markets generallyare pessimistic about pledging shares and react negatively to the risks involved, especially when a significant stake of the promoter gets pledged. While during normal times, this may be less of an issue but may have adverse consequences in a bear market. This is so because when the share prices fall, additional collateral must be deposited with the lender or the lender may have the right to invoke or sell the shares, creating pressure.  

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